Thursday, June 30, 2011

Balls to the wall...

...and across the ESPNs yellow digitized line.

Year2 has a great post on why coaches need to be more aggressive in game planning and play calling. It's broken into areas of onside kicks (ones that aren't necessitated by time remaining and the score), going for the 1st down marker on 4th down instead of punting and underdog strategies.

If you can get past the memory of the field goal attempt in the Liberty Bowl, this is a great read:
The number of fourth down conversion attempts per game has a clear negative correlation with winning percentage. That's not surprising given that teams don't tend to go for it on fourth down unless they're behind. Teams that spend a lot of time behind are usually bad, and that extra time being down leads to more fourth down conversion attempts. The conversions per game is still negative but a lot closer to zero, as good teams attempt fewer fourth down conversions but tend to be good at making them. How do we know that? Because conversion percentage is correlated quite positively with winning percentage. The better the team, unsurprisingly, the better chance it has to succeed on fourth down.
A good seasoned quarterback certainly helps coaches have the confidence to go for it. A bullish line would help as well. But it's also worth a thought that Richt has shown some swagger this off season. Of course, not taking any crap from a fan on a road tour stop is a lot different than deciding you're gonna step on the head rooster's throat. But it could lead to another spectacular state trooper fist bump.*

courtesy of RedStripeDawg

*may be forced, but I always look for a way to fit that video awesome sauce into a post. Apologies.

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